On the 17th I blogged about OPEC’s gambit to force a rise in the price per barrel for oil on the world’s market, here, and how their efforts would fail due to the current economic climate.

Today oil futures fell 9.3%, to close at $35.35 a barrel.

The world economy is on life support and failing fast.

From Breitbart.com today…

Russia, China warn of dire economic straits in 2009
[Excerpts]

Russia and China issued stark warnings on Wednesday about the impact of the crisis on their recently booming economies in 2009, with Moscow saying the downturn could spark unrest in the streets.

[snip]

In Moscow, a top Kremlin economic aide said there would be a budget deficit in 2009 for the first time for a decade as Russia — the world’s second-biggest producer of crude oil after Saudi Arabia — reels from the global crisis.

“The deficit is caused by the fall in oil prices, above all,” Arkady Dvorkovich was quoted as saying in reference to the plunge in prices from record highs of above 147 dollars per barrel in July to under 40 dollars now.

With oil prices heading towards the year end at their lowest level for four years, the price of Brent North Sea crude for February sank to 38.63 dollars per barrel on London’s InterContinental Exchange (ICE) amid weakening demand.

Commenting on the worsening situation, Deputy Interior Minister Mikhail Sukhodolsky, warned that unpaid wages, the threat of layoffs and unpopular government anti-crisis measures “may aggravate the protest mood.”

China’s top economic planner also warned of “great challenges” ahead.

The head of the National Development and Reform Commission, Zhang Ping, said “grave risks” lay ahead for goals of fast growth and high employment if the government did not manage to stimulate demand and maintain export growth.

Economists have warned that the global downturn could mean that China will end 2008 with its weakest economic growth for nearly two decades. China has not posted annual growth of less than 7.6 percent since 1991.

No one can say how long the economic freefall will continue, where the bottom might be, or how long it will take to turn positive. However, I do have a great deal of concern over trying to maintain prosperity during a time when just stemming the bloodletting seems to be beyond our ability.

It’s time to lower expectations and accept the fact that we will be feeling painful effects for at least the immediate future.

SZ

 

European natural gas held hostage?

Moscow Threatens to Shut Off Ukraine’s Gas

Wednesday, December 24, 2008

MOSCOW  —  Russia’s President Dmitry Medvedev sternly urged Ukraine on Wednesday to fully pay its $2.1 billion debt for Russian natural gas supplies or face sanctions, as a Jan. 1 deadline for payment loomed.

Medvedev’s statement was the strongest indication to date that Ukraine may face a repeat of January 2006 cutoff of Russian gas shipments which led to a reduction of supplies in Europe. It will likely raise worries in the European Union, which depends on Russia for 40 percent of its gas imports.

“If Ukraine fails to pay, we will use a whole arsenal of possible measures, there must be no illusions on this score,” Medvedev said in televised remarks. “They must pay the debt to the last ruble if they do not want their economy to face sanctions.”

Russia’s state gas monopoly Gazprom on Wednesday reaffirmed its warning to turn off the taps on Ukraine, if the neighbor doesn’t pay off the entire debt by the end of the year.

Gazprom spokesman Sergei Kupriyanov said Ukraine’s gas company Naftogaz told Gazprom officials that they wouldn’t be able to pay the debt.

“We asked them a straight question — will you pay up by the end of the year and we received the answer ‘no’,” Kupriyanov said at a news conference. He said that Ukraine’s debt for November and December together with fines amounts to some $2.1 billion.

Continues at link...

The financial crisis cuts both ways.  Difficulty paying and difficulty collecting on accounts due.  It becomes a vicious feedback loop.

Price spikes and shortages are not something that can be comfortably absorbed when many people are losing their jobs and temperatures dip below freezing.

Dec 242008
 

I am a self-confessed News Junkie.  I used to joke that I was afraid to go to sleep at night [I'm an insomniac] because I was afraid the world would end and I wouldn’t know it.

It used to be that I could satisfy my addiction with the 24 hour cable news channels and the CSPAN channels.  These were hard enough on my family and the cause of more than a few uprisings.  To appease my mutinous family I moved most of my news addiction to the internet, a natural progressions as I am also an unabashed netholic.

About two and half years ago I purchased my first smartphone with unlimited internet access and I could get a news “fix” at any moment in time as long as I stayed within my cellular data network’s reach.    When I upgraded to the Apple iPhone staying “hooked in” became all the easier and I could look cool while doing it instead of just weirdly geekie.

Now I’ve discovered Twitter and Facebook and feeding my addiction has become a mainlining behavior.  I no longer have to seek out breaking news…

it comes directly to me.

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